An analysis of data for the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase showing statistics and trends for the last 25 renewals since 1997. Analysis of the race is broken down by a number of factors including age, weight carried, days since last run, starting price and official rating.

The Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase is a Grade 1 National Hunt chase which is run at Cheltenham generally on the first race of the Cheltenham Festival.

This years race will be held on Tuesday 14th March 2023

This race is a novice chase open to horses aged five years or older. It is run on the Old Course at Cheltenham over a distance of about 2 miles. During the race there are thirteen fences to be negotiated.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase Winners Since 1997

DateDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
15.03.20222mGood To Soft11EdwardstoneKayf Tara8Cannon, Tom JKing, A5/211-415931d
16.03.20212mSoft5Shishkin (IRE)Sholokhov (IRE)7Boinville, NicoHenderson, N J4/911-416445d
10.03.20202mSoft11Put The Kettle On (IRE)Stowaway6Coleman, ABromhead, Henry De16/110-11144114d
12.03.20192mSoft12Duc Des Genievres (FR)Bucks Boum (FR)6Townend, PMullins, W P5/111-415124d
13.03.20182mHeavy5Footpad (FR)Creachadoir (IRE)6Walsh, RMullins, W P5/611-416238d
14.03.20172mGood To Soft9Altior (IRE)High Chaparral (IRE)7Boinville, NicoHenderson, N J1/411-417031d
15.03.20162mGood To Soft7Douvan (FR)Walk In The Park (IRE)6Walsh, RMullins, W P1/411-416151d
10.03.20152mGood To Soft11Un De Sceaux (FR)Denham Red (FR)7Walsh, RMullins, W P4/611-416644d
11.03.20142mGood To Soft9Western Warhorse (IRE)Westerner6Scudamore, TomPipe, D E33/111-413562d
12.03.20132mSoft7SimonsigFair Mix (IRE)7Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J8/1511-716075d
13.03.20122mGood6Sprinter Sacre (FR)Network (GER)6Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J8/1111-716925d
15.03.20112mGood10Captain Chris (IRE)Kings Theatre (IRE)7Johnson, RichardHobbs, P J6/111-715317d
16.03.20102mGood To Soft12Sizing Europe (IRE)Pistolet Bleu (IRE)8Lynch, A EBromhead, Henry De6/111-715780d
10.03.20092mGood To Soft17Forpadydeplasterer (IRE)Moscow Society (USA)7Geraghty, B JCooper, Thomas8/111-715223d
11.03.20082mGood To Soft14Tidal Bay (IRE)Flemensfirth (USA)7ORegan, DenisJohnson, J Howard6/111-715438d
13.03.20072mSoft13My Way De Solzen (FR)Assessor (IRE)7Thornton, RobertKing, A7/211-7052d
14.03.20062mGood To Soft14Voy Por Ustedes (FR)Villez (USA)5Thornton, RobertKing, A15/211-2024d
15.03.20052mGood19ContrabandRed Ransom (USA)7Murphy, TimmyPipe, M C7/111-714752d
16.03.20042mGood16Well Chief (GER)Night Shift (USA)5McCoy, A PPipe, M C9/111-3042d
11.03.20032mGood9Azertyuiop (FR)Baby Turk6Walsh, RNicholls, P F5/411-8024d
12.03.20022mGood To Soft12Moscow Flyer (IRE)Moscow Society (USA)8Geraghty, B JHarrington,s John11/211-8044d
14.03.20002mGood12TiutchevSoviet Star (USA)7Fitzgerald, MickHenderson, N J8/111-8066d
16.03.19992mGood To Soft14Flagship Uberalles (IRE)Accordion (IRE)5Tizzard, JoeNicholls, P F11/111-0024d
17.03.19982mGood16Champleve (FR)Kendor (FR)5McCoy, A PPipe, M C13/211-0034d
11.03.19972mGood9Or Royal (FR)Kendor (FR)6McCoy, A PPipe, M C11/211-80

Horses Age – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

The table below shows the ages of the 280 horses that have lined up in the Supreme Novices Hurdle since 1997.

211 of the runners have been aged between 5 and 7, this age range has been responsible for 22 of the 25 winners.

Horse AgeRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
5374111%1130%
659811.5614%1729%
711510-64.619%2824%
8493-326%1224%
9160-160%213%
1030-30%00%
1210-10%00%

Weight Carried – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

20 of the 25 winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997 have carried at least 11st 4lb to victory. 59 of the 70 horses to make the first 3 were also in this range.

Horse WeightRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
10-910-10%00%
10-11411325%125%
11-08211.525%450%
11-2131-4.58%323%
11-3121-28%325%
11-4768-25.0611%2330%
11-71088-62.247%2220%
11-8584-33.757%1424%

Headgear Worn – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

23 of the 25 winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997 have been without headgear which only 26 of the 280 runners have lined up wearing any.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Cheekpieces900-9222.22
Blinkers10110-3.5220
Hood7114.2927114.29
None254239.06-118.556525.59

Starting Price (SP) – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

The table shows the starting price range of all horses that have run in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997.

The winners range from 1/4 (1.25) to 33/1 (34.00).

21 of the 25 winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase have returned a SP of 8/1 (9.00) or less.

For those who like an each way play 40 of the 70 horses that have finished in the frame (first 3 places) have returned a SP of 13/2 or more.

Odds BracketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
Less than 1/2330.94100%3100%
Btw 1/2 & 10/11442.76100%4100%
Btw Evens & 6/4210.2550%150%
Btw 13/8 & 9/420-20%2100%
Btw 5/2 & 4/1272-197%1141%
Btw 9/2 & 6/12861221%932%
Btw 13/2 & 8/12951317%1138%
Btw 17/2 & 12/1462-244%1328%
Btw 14/1 & 20/1471-302%715%
Btw 22/1 & 40/1541-202%917%
50-1 or above380-380%00%

Position in Betting Market – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

9 favourites have won the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997. 18 of the 25 winners came from the first 5 in the betting market.

Position In MarketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
1269-9.5535%1558%
2254116%1144%
32742.515%933%
4233-0.513%835%
5312-12.56%929%
6230-230%626%
724258%417%
8151197%427%
9240-240%28%
10160-160%16%
11140-140%17%
1280-80%00%
1370-70%00%
1460-60%00%
1530-30%00%
1650-50%00%
1710-10%00%
1820-20%00%

Official Rating (OR) – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997

16 of the 25 winners had been allocated an official rating.

None of the winners with an official rating were rated below 135.

Official RatingRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0989-31.259%2121%
9410-10%00%
10110-10%00%
10210-10%00%
11910-10%00%
12010-10%00%
12210-10%1100%
12410-10%00%
13020-20%00%
13210-10%00%
13310-10%00%
13430-30%133%
135213250%150%
13730-30%00%
13850-50%00%
13940-40%00%
14010-10%00%
14130-30%00%
14270-70%114%
14390-90%222%
144711014%229%
145100-100%220%
14670-70%229%
147161-86%531%
148130-130%18%
14960-60%233%
15080-80%338%
151101-410%110%
15271214%457%
153101-310%220%
15431433%267%
15560-60%117%
15670-70%229%
15761117%350%
15830-30%267%
159112.5100%1100%
16051-3.4720%240%
161110.25100%1100%
16221-0.1750%150%
164110.44100%1100%
16510-10%00%
166110.67100%1100%
16710-10%00%
169110.73100%1100%
170110.25100%1100%

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Days Since Last Run (DSLR) – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

23 of the 25 Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase winners since 1997 had their latest run between 16 and 90 days ago.

No horses made the frame returning to the track in less than 16 days.

Days Since RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
8-15 days130-130%18%
16-30 days777-30.529%1621%
31-60 days13312-78.569%3224%
61-90 days38413.5311%1539%
91-120 days13148%431%
121-365 days40-40%125%
First Run214.550%150%

Last Run Placing (LR) – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 25 runnings of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997.

20 of the 25 winners had won on their previous outing.

Previous PlaceRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Run214.550%150%
First14020-1.0514%4532%
Second602-443%1220%
Third311-233%723%
Fourth140-140%17%
Fifth80-80%113%
Sixth20-20%00%
Seventh10-10%00%
Ninth10-10%00%
Fell111-4.59%218%
Left at Start10-10%00%
Pulled Up60-60%117%
Unseated Rider30-30%00%

Miscellaneous Statistics – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

All of this data is for the last 25 renewals of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 1997

Runs (365 days)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0214.550%150%
160-60%233%
2140-140%429%
3262-22.898%415%
45673.7613%1730%
5565-29.429%1527%
6403-18.58%1025%
732614.519%1238%
8170-170%16%
991311%111%
1070-70%229%
1150-50%120%
1220-20%00%
1310-10%00%
1510-10%00%
1620-20%00%
1710-10%00%
2320-20%00%
3010-10%00%
Wins (Distance)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
043410.59%921%
1623-47.975%1423%
2727-16.0610%1926%
3465-24.6711%1635%
4333-11.759%824%
5151-13.277%213%
641-2.3325%125%
720-20%00%
810-10%00%
9115.5100%1100%
1110-10%00%
Wins (Less Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
023922-75.89%6326%
1240-240%313%
272-2.2529%229%
331533%133%
440-40%125%
510-10%00%
610-10%00%
910-10%00%
Wins (Higher Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0301-23.53%620%
1646-26.589%1523%
2776-8.778%1519%
3442-33.675%920%
4403-18.258%1230%
51543.6927%960%
651-3.4720%120%
7328.567%3100%
910-10%00%
1110-10%00%
Season RunsRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0214.550%150%
160-60%233%
2332-22.476%1030%
3618-2.0813%1626%
4626-2710%2134%
5536-1711%1019%
6240-240%521%
71921011%316%
860-60%117%
940-40%125%
1030-30%00%
1110-10%00%
1320-20%00%
1410-10%00%
1610-10%00%
1710-10%00%
1810-10%00%
Max Distance RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Prev Run214.550%150%
2m40-40%250%
2m½f100-100%110%
2m1f363-16.258%1028%
2m1½f120-120%217%
2m2f91-7.3311%222%
2m2½f61-4.7517%583%
2m3f90-90%00%
2m3½f1221.7317%542%
2m4f595-24.818%1322%
2m4½f243-4.513%729%
2m5f475-15.4711%1532%
2m5½f110-110%19%
2m6f101-2.510%110%
2m6½f30-30%133%
3m161-14.176%16%
3m½f712714%229%
3m1f212.550%150%
3m1½f10-10%00%
Max Distance WINRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Prev Win91-2.511%222%
2m210-210%419%
2m½f400-400%513%
2m1f578-17.5214%1730%
2m1½f213-3.2514%524%
2m2f181-96%317%
2m2½f91-7.7511%667%
2m3f110-110%19%
2m3½f120-120%217%
2m4f43522.4412%1330%
2m4½f1439.521%429%
2m5f112-2.4718%545%
2m5½f30-30%133%
2m6f20-20%00%
3m61-1.517%117%
3m½f20-20%150%
3m1f10-10%00%

One Stop Ratings – Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

15 of the 20 winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase since 2002 have been in the top 5 on our One Stop Rating (OSR).

RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
120840.00%1155.00%-2.45
220210.00%525.00%-16.60
320420.00%945.00%12.50
42015.00%1050.00%-13.00
52129.52%733.33%-6.00
61715.88%423.53%-9.00
71700.00%211.76%-17.00
816212.50%318.75%35.00
91500.00%16.67%-15.00
101100.00%19.09%-11.00
111100.00%19.09%-11.00
12800.00%112.50%-8.00
13700.00%00.00%-7.00
14400.00%00.00%-4.00
15300.00%00.00%-3.00
16300.00%00.00%-3.00
17200.00%00.00%-2.00
18100.00%00.00%-1.00
19100.00%00.00%-1.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase 2023 on Monday 13th March.

Our Selection

One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase will be sent to ALL Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.

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