Turners Novices Chase – Statistics and Trends
Maximise Your Betting Success with Our Comprehensive Analysis of the Turners Novices Chase. Based on 12 Years of Data from 2011 to the Present Day, Our Study Examines Vital Factors Such as Horse Age, Weight, Time Since Last Run, Starting Price, and Official Rating. Get a Deep Understanding of Statistical Trends and Patterns in this Prestigious Race and Improve Your Approach to Betting.
What is the Turners Novices Chase
Get ready for the exciting Grade 1 National Hunt Chase, the Turners Novices Chase, taking place on Thursday, March 16th, 2023 during the third day of the prestigious Cheltenham Festival. Previously known as the Golden Miller Novices’ Chase and recently run as the Marsh Novices’ Chase, this race is a must-see event for horse racing fans.
Open to horses aged 5 and up, the Turners Novices Chase will be held on the New Course at Cheltenham, covering a thrilling distance of approximately 2 miles and 4 furlongs. Don’t miss your chance to witness the best novice horses in action at this world-renowned racecourse.
Turners Novices Chase Winners since 2011
| Date | Distance | Going | Runners | Winner | Stallion | Age | Jockey (Clm) | Trainer | Odds | Weight | OR | Days |
| 17.03.2022 | 2m4f | Soft | 4 | Bob Olinger (IRE) | Sholokhov (IRE) | 7 | Blackmore, Rachael | Bromhead, Henry De | 6/5 | 11-4 | 161 | 60d |
| 18.03.2021 | 2m4f | Good To Soft | 8 | Chantry House (IRE) | Yeats (IRE) | 7 | Boinville, Nico | Henderson, N J | 9/1 | 11-4 | 151 | 29d |
| 12.03.2020 | 2m4f | Soft | 12 | Samcro (IRE) | Germany (USA) | 8 | Russell, D N | Elliott, Gordon | 4/1 | 11-4 | 157 | 77d |
| 14.03.2019 | 2m4f | Good To Soft | 10 | Defi Du Seuil (FR) | Voix Du Nord (FR) | 6 | Geraghty, B J | Hobbs, P J | 3/1 | 11-4 | 151 | 40d |
| 15.03.2018 | 2m4f | Soft | 9 | Shattered Love (IRE) | Yeats (IRE) | 7 | Kennedy, J W | Elliott, Gordon | 4/1 | 10-11 | 144 | 76d |
| 16.03.2017 | 2m4f | Good | 8 | Yorkhill (IRE) | Presenting | 7 | Walsh, R | Mullins, W P | 6/4 | 11-4 | 155 | 53d |
| 17.03.2016 | 2m4f | Good | 9 | Black Hercules (IRE) | Heron Island (IRE) | 7 | Walsh, R | Mullins, W P | 4/1 | 11-4 | 152 | 32d |
| 12.03.2015 | 2m4f | Good | 8 | Vautour (FR) | Robin Des Champs (FR) | 6 | Walsh, R | Mullins, W P | 6/4 | 11-4 | 154 | 53d |
| 13.03.2014 | 2m4f | Good | 12 | Taquin Du Seuil (FR) | Voix Du Nord (FR) | 7 | McCoy, A P | ONeill, Jonjo | 7/1 | 11-4 | 147 | 54d |
| 14.03.2013 | 2m4f | Good To Soft | 13 | Benefficient (IRE) | Beneficial | 7 | Cooper, Bryan J | Martin, A J | 20/1 | 11-4 | 147 | 47d |
| 15.03.2012 | 2m4f | Good | 10 | Sir Des Champs (FR) | Robin Des Champs (FR) | 6 | Russell, D N | Mullins, W P | 3/1 | 11-4 | 148 | 47d |
| 17.03.2011 | 2m4f | Good | 11 | Noble Prince (GER) | Montjeu (IRE) | 7 | McCoy, A P | Nolan, Paul | 4/1 | 11-4 | 146 | 53d |
Horses Age – Turners Novices Chase
The table below shows the ages of the 114 horses that have lined up in the Turners Novices Chase since 2011.
8 of the 12 winners have been aged 7 from just 45 runners another 8 7-year-olds have been placed either second or third.
| Horse Age | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 5 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 2 | 29% |
| 6 | 40 | 3 | -29.5 | 8% | 11 | 28% |
| 7 | 45 | 8 | 13.7 | 18% | 16 | 36% |
| 8 | 15 | 1 | -10 | 7% | 4 | 27% |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
Weight Carried – Turners Novices Chase
11 of the 22 winners of the Turners Novices Chase since 2011 have carried 11st 4lb to victory. 32 of the 34 horses to make the first 3 were also in this range.
| Horse Weight | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 10-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20% | 1 | 20% |
| 11-2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 11-3 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
| 11-4 | 103 | 11 | -33.8 | 11% | 32 | 31% |
Headgear Worn – Turners Novices Chase
11 of the 12 winners of the Turners Novices Chase since 2011 have been without headgear.
| Headgear | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
| Cheekpieces | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 2 | 40 |
| Blinkers | 5 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 0 |
| Hood | 5 | 1 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 40 |
| None | 99 | 11 | 11.11 | -45.8 | 30 | 30.3 |
Starting Price (SP) – Turners Novices Chase
The table shows the starting price range of all horses that have run in the Turners Novices Chase since 2011.
The winners range from 6/5 to 20/1.
9 of the 12 winners of the Turners Novices Chase have returned a SP of 4/1 or less.
For those who like an each way play 15 of the 34 horses that have finished in the frame (first 3 places) have returned a SP of 13/2 or more.
| Odds Bracket | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| Less than 1/2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Btw 1/2 & 10/11 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Btw Evens & 6/4 | 4 | 3 | 3.2 | 75% | 4 | 100% |
| Btw 5/2 & 4/1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 13 | 76% |
| Btw 9/2 & 6/1 | 12 | 0 | -12 | 0% | 2 | 17% |
| Btw 13/2 & 8/1 | 14 | 1 | -6 | 7% | 5 | 36% |
| 17/2 & 12/1 | 18 | 1 | -8 | 6% | 4 | 22% |
| Btw 14/1 & 20/1 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 5% | 4 | 20% |
| Btw 22/1 & 40/1 | 17 | 0 | -17 | 0% | 1 | 6% |
| 50-1 or above | 10 | 0 | -10 | 0% | 1 | 10% |
Position in Betting Market – Turners Novices Chase
4 favourites have won the Turners Novices Chase since 2011. 11 of the 12 winners came from the first 4 in the betting market.
| Position In Market | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 1 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 29% | 9 | 64% |
| 2 | 11 | 5 | 15.2 | 45% | 8 | 73% |
| 3 | 11 | 1 | -6 | 9% | 3 | 27% |
| 4 | 15 | 1 | -7 | 7% | 4 | 27% |
| 5 | 16 | 0 | -16 | 0% | 5 | 31% |
| 6 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 1 | 17% |
| 7 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 11% | 2 | 22% |
| 8 | 10 | 0 | -10 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | -8 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
Official Rating (OR) – Turners Novices Chase
The following table shows the official rating of every horse in the Turners Novices Chase since 2011
All of the 12 winners had been allocated an official rating.
All of the 15 winners with an official rating were rated at between 118 and 138.
| Official Rating | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 114 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 123 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 128 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 131 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 137 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 138 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 139 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 140 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
| 141 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 142 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 143 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
| 144 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% | 1 | 25% |
| 145 | 8 | 0 | -8 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 146 | 7 | 1 | -2 | 14% | 1 | 14% |
| 147 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 50% | 2 | 50% |
| 148 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 17% | 3 | 50% |
| 149 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 2 | 50% |
| 150 | 10 | 0 | -10 | 0% | 3 | 30% |
| 151 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 20% | 5 | 50% |
| 152 | 14 | 1 | -9 | 7% | 4 | 29% |
| 153 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 1 | 14% |
| 154 | 5 | 1 | -2.5 | 20% | 2 | 40% |
| 155 | 5 | 1 | -2.5 | 20% | 4 | 80% |
| 156 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 157 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
| 158 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 1 | 50% |
| 159 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 160 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 161 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 | 50% | 2 | 100% |
| 164 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.
Days Since Last Run (DSLR) – Turners Novices Chase
All of the 12 Turners Novices Chase winners since 2011 had their latest run between 16 and 90 days ago.
9 of them last ran between 31 and 60 days ago.
No horses have made the frame returning to the track in less than 16 days.
| Days Since Run | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 1-7 days | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 8-15 days | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 16-30 days | 20 | 1 | -10 | 5% | 3 | 15% |
| 31-60 days | 71 | 9 | -16.8 | 13% | 24 | 34% |
| 61-90 days | 17 | 2 | -7 | 12% | 6 | 35% |
| 91-120 days | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
Last Run Placing (LR) – Turners Novices Chase
The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 12 runnings of the Turners Novices Chase since 2011.
9 of the 12 winners had won on their previous outing.
| Previous Place | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| First | 52 | 9 | 7.2 | 17% | 21 | 40% |
| Second | 28 | 2 | -18 | 7% | 6 | 21% |
| Third | 11 | 0 | -11 | 0% | 1 | 9% |
| Fourth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 4 | 67% |
| Fifth | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
| Sixth | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Seventh | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Ninth | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Tenth | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Fell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 1 | 33% |
| Pulled Up | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Unseated Rider | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Miscellaneous Statistics – Turners Novices Chase
All of this data is for the last 12 renewals of the Ballymore Novices since 2011
| Wins (Distance) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 50 | 3 | -31 | 6% | 10 | 20% |
| 1 | 36 | 5 | -11.5 | 14% | 11 | 31% |
| 2 | 22 | 2 | 1.5 | 9% | 9 | 41% |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20% | 3 | 60% |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
| Wins (Less Dist) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 11 | 0 | -11 | 0% | 2 | 18% |
| 1 | 25 | 2 | -17.8 | 8% | 10 | 40% |
| 2 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 14% | 6 | 27% |
| 3 | 20 | 1 | -15 | 5% | 3 | 15% |
| 4 | 13 | 1 | -3 | 8% | 2 | 15% |
| 5 | 11 | 1 | -8.5 | 9% | 3 | 27% |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 6.5 | 50% | 6 | 100% |
| 7 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
| Wins (Higher Dist) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 0 | 45 | 4 | -12.5 | 9% | 13 | 29% |
| 1 | 41 | 4 | -21.3 | 10% | 12 | 29% |
| 2 | 15 | 2 | -5 | 13% | 4 | 27% |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 3 | 43% |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Season Runs | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2 | 9 | 1 | -6.8 | 11% | 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 37 | 6 | -5.5 | 16% | 12 | 32% |
| 4 | 27 | 2 | -20.5 | 7% | 8 | 30% |
| 5 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 12% | 10 | 38% |
| 6 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
| 7 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Max Distance Run | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 2m1f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
| 2m1½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m2½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m3f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m3½f | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
| 2m4f | 9 | 1 | -6.5 | 11% | 4 | 44% |
| 2m4½f | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 1 | 14% |
| 2m5f | 22 | 5 | -0.3 | 23% | 9 | 41% |
| 2m5½f | 14 | 2 | 0 | 14% | 4 | 29% |
| 2m6f | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m6½f | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 2 | 33% |
| 2m7f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m7½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 3m | 24 | 4 | 12 | 17% | 7 | 29% |
| 3m½f | 11 | 0 | -11 | 0% | 2 | 18% |
| 3m1f | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 2 | 40% |
| 3m1½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
| Max Distance WIN | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
| 2m | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
| 2m½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m1f | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
| 2m1½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m2f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m2½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m3f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m3½f | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 2 | 50% |
| 2m4f | 28 | 4 | 4.5 | 14% | 9 | 32% |
| 2m4½f | 10 | 0 | -10 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m5f | 31 | 4 | -13.3 | 13% | 11 | 35% |
| 2m5½f | 14 | 2 | 0 | 14% | 4 | 29% |
| 2m6f | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 2m6½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 1 | 50% |
| 3m | 5 | 2 | 5 | 40% | 4 | 80% |
| 3m½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| 3m1f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
One Stop Ratings – Turners Novices Chase
5 Top Ranked Winners and 8 of the 12 winners of the Turners Novices Chase since 2011 have been in the top 3 on our One Stop Rating (OSR).
| Rank | Bets | Wins | Win% | Places | Places% | P/L |
| 1 | 12 | 5 | 41.67% | 6 | 50.00% | 6.00 |
| 2 | 12 | 1 | 8.33% | 6 | 50.00% | -9.80 |
| 3 | 12 | 2 | 16.67% | 6 | 50.00% | 1.00 |
| 4 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 3 | 25.00% | -12.00 |
| 5 | 12 | 2 | 16.67% | 4 | 33.33% | 3.00 |
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 10.00% | 3 | 30.00% | 11.00 |
| 7 | 11 | 1 | 9.09% | 1 | 9.09% | -6.00 |
| 8 | 11 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 9.09% | -11.00 |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 12.50% | -8.00 |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 0.00% | 2 | 33.33% | -6.00 |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -4.00 |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -3.00 |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 100.00% | -1.00 |
One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Turners Novices Chase 2023 on Wednesday 15th March.
Our Selection for the 2023 Turners Novices Chase
One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2023 Turners Novices Chase will be sent to All Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.
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