Mersey Novices’ Hurdle – 10 Year Trends

The Mersey Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade 1 National Hunt hurdle which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Betway.

This year’s race will be held on Saturday 9th April 2022

The Mersey Novices’ Hurdle often features horses which ran previously in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle.

This race is open to is open to horses aged four years old and over. It is run at Aintree over a distance of about 2 miles and 4 furlongs. During the race there are eleven hurdles to be negotiated.

Previous Winners of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
10.04.2021Aintree2m4fGood To Soft12My DrogoMilan6Skelton, HarrySkelton, Daniel5/411-415035d
6.04.2019Aintree2m4fGood9Reserve Tank (IRE)Jeremy (USA)5Power, R MTizzard, C L20/111-413921d
14.04.2018Aintree2m4fSoft12Black Op (IRE)Sandmason7Fehily, NoelGeorge, T R3/111-415231d
8.04.2017Aintree2m4fGood13Finians Oscar (IRE)Oscar (IRE)5Power, R MTizzard, C L3/111-414955d
9.04.2016Aintree2m4fSoft6Yorkhill (IRE)Presenting6Townend, PMullins, W P30/10011-415624d
11.04.2015Aintree2m4fGood12Nichols CanyonAuthorized (IRE)5Walsh, RMullins, W P3/111-414931d
5.04.2014Aintree2m4fGood To Soft12Lac Fontana (FR)Shirocco (GER)5McCoy, A PNicholls, P F9/211-414822d
6.04.2013Aintree2m4fGood To Soft8Ubak (FR)Kapgarde (FR)5Moore, JamieMoore, G L22/111-413024d
14.04.2012Aintree2m4fGood10SimonsigFair Mix (IRE)6Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J4/911-415731d
9.04.2011Aintree2m4fGood9Spirit Son (FR)Poliglote5Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J3/111-414925d

Horses

Due to the conditions of the race horses can only run in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle once.

Course Form

The table shows the number of times the 103 horses, who have run in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.

9 of the last 10 winners had previously never run at Aintree.

Course RunsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
085910.59-18.512630.59
11417.14-10428.57
2400-400

Winning Distance Form

The table shows the number of times the 103 horses, who have run in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.

9 of the last 10 winners had previously never won at the distance.

Distance WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
076911.84-6.812330.26
12214.55-20.7627.27
2400-400
3100-11100

Winning Going Form

The table shows the number of times the 103 horses, who have run in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.

Only 4 winners had ever won on similar going.

Going WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
051611.7610.51835.29
13538.57-27.45720
2900-9222.22
38112.5-6.56337.5

Trainers

Winners

7 trainers have saddled a winner of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle in the last 10 years.

No trainer has dominated but Willie Mullins has a record of 2 wins from 4 runners.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Mullins, W P42501.3250
Tizzard, C L6233.3319466.67
Henderson, N J12216.67-6.56433.33
Nicholls, P F8112.5-2.5337.5
Skelton, Daniel4125-1.754100
George, T R21502150
Moore, G L215021150

Places (includes wins)

15 different trainers have been responsible for the 30 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.

Dan Skelton’s record is noteworthy with a winner and 3 more in the frame from 4 runners.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Skelton, Daniel4125-1.754100
Tizzard, C L6233.3319466.67
Henderson, N J12216.67-6.56433.33
Nicholls, P F8112.5-2.5337.5
Twiston-Davies, N A500-5360
McCain Jnr, D400-4250
Mullins, W P42501.3250
Pipe, D E200-2150
King, A400-4125
Ferguson, J P200-2150
Moore, G L215021150
Hughes, D T100-11100
George, T R21502150
Wadham,s L100-11100
Murphy, Olly100-11100

Age

All of the last 10 winners of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle have been aged between 5 and 7 years old.

AgeBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
4200-200
536616.6725.51541.67
65535.45-50.011323.64
79111.11-5222.22
10100-100

Sex

All of the winners of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle in the previous 10 years have been geldings.

Just 4 mares have run and 3 were placed.

Headgear

All of the winners of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle and 29 of the 30 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
None931010.75-22.512931.18
Blinkers200-200
Cheekpieces200-200
Hood600-6116.67

Official Rating (OR)

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle over the last 10 years.

8 of the last 10 winners had a rating of between 148 and 157.

ORBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
128300-3133.33
130512018120
131100-11100
135500-5120
136500-5120
138400-4125
139412517125
140400-4125
142700-7342.86
143800-8450
144300-3133.33
146100-11100
1488112.5-2.5562.5
14943758375
15021500.25150
1521110031100
154100-11100
1562150-0.7150
157111000.441100

7 of the last 10 winners were within 3lb of the top rated.

OR RankBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopRated13538.46-0.01861.54
1 lower215022100
2 lower21503.5150
3 lower100-11100
5 lower5120-1240
6 lower500-5240
7 lower500-5240
8 lower400-4125
9 lower512016240
11 lower200-2150
14 lower600-6116.67
15 lower500-5120
16 lower800-8112.5
18 lower100-11100
19 lower800-8112.5
20 lower200-2150
26 lower215021150
29 lower200-2150

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Starting Price (SP)

The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle for the last 10 years.

The winners range from 30/100 (1.3) to 22/1 (23.00).

8 of the 10 winners were 9/2 or lower.

27 of the 30 horses to make the frame returned a SP 14/1 (15.00) or lower.

SPBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
1.30111000.31100
1.44111000.441100
2.25111001.251100
3.50100-11100
3.75200-2150
4.0044100124100
4.33100-11100
4.50200-2150
5.00300-3133.33
5.503133.332.53100
6.00200-2150
7.50200-2150
8.00400-4375
9.00600-6116.67
11.00300-3133.33
13.00600-6466.67
15.00400-4125
21.006116.6715116.67
23.0011100221100
29.00500-5120

Position in Betting Market

6 favourites have won the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle in the last 10 years. 8 of the last 10 winners and 15 of the 30 to make the frame came from the first 3 in the betting market.

Pos BettingBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Clear Top106608.49880
Clear Second82250787.5
Clear Third800-8112.5
Clear Fourth800-8675
Joint Fourth400-4125
Clear Fifth700-7228.57
Clear Sixth6116.6717116.67
Joint Sixth500-5120
Clear Seventh512016120
Clear Eighth300-3133.33
Joint Eighth200-2150

Days Since Last Run (DSLR)

9 of the previous 10 Mersey Novices’ Hurdle winners had their latest run between 21 and 45 days ago.

DSLRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
6-10 days100-100
11-15 days300-300
21-25 days30516.6724.81446.67
26-30 days1300-13215.38
31-45 days29413.79-17.31724.14
46-60 days1516.67-11426.67
61-75 days200-200
76-90 days400-400
91-120 days400-4375
121-150 days200-200

Last Run Placing (LR)

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle.

9 of the last 10 winners had finished in the first 3 on their previous outing.

LRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
First47612.77-11.511123.4
Second16212.5-8743.75
Third6116.67-2233.33
Fourth400-4250
Fifth600-6233.33
Sixth300-300
Seventh8112.515450
Eighth100-100
Ninth100-100
Eleventh100-100
Twelfth100-100
Thirteenth200-200
Fifteenth100-11100
Sixteenth100-100
Pulled Up300-3133.33
Unseated Rider200-200

One Stop Ratings

6 of the last 10 winners of the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle have been top 2 ranked on One Stop Rating (OSR).

RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
110440.00%990.00%-1.01
210220.00%440.00%-0.50
31000.00%440.00%-10.00
410110.00%440.00%-6.00
51000.00%220.00%-10.00
610110.00%220.00%11.00
79222.22%333.33%18.00
8900.00%00.00%-9.00
9900.00%111.11%-9.00
10600.00%00.00%-6.00
11400.00%00.00%-4.00
12500.00%00.00%-5.00
13100.00%1100.00%-1.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle on Thursday 6th April.

Our Selection for the Mersey Novices’ Hurdle

One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2022 Mersey Novices’ Hurdle will be available to ALL Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.

Check out all of our subscription plans.

© 2022, One Stop Racing. All rights reserved.

One Stop Racing