Sefton Novices’ Hurdle – 10 Year Trends

The Sefton Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade 1 National Hunt hurdle which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Cavani Menswear.

This year’s race will be held on Friday 8th April 2022

The Sefton Novices’ Hurdle often features horses which ran previously in the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle.

This race is open to is open to horses aged four years old and over. It is run at Aintree over a distance of about 3 miles and ½ furlongs. During the race there are thirteen fences to be negotiated.

Previous Winners of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
9.04.2021Aintree3m1fGood To Soft12Ahoy Senor (IRE)Dylan Thomas (IRE)6Fox, Derek RRussell, Miss Lucinda V66/111-4039d
5.04.2019Aintree3m1fSoft12Champ (IRE)Kings Theatre (IRE)7Walsh, M PHenderson, N J9/411-415223d
13.04.2018Aintree3m1fSoft13SantiniMilan6Boinville, NicoHenderson, N J6/411-415028d
7.04.2017Aintree3m1fGood11The Worlds End (IRE)Stowaway6Heskin, A PGeorge, T R3/111-414921d
8.04.2016Aintree3m½fSoft15Ballyoptic (IRE)Old Vic6Hatch, RTwiston-Davies, N A9/111-413820d
10.04.2015Aintree3m½fGood To Soft16ThistlecrackKayf Tara7Scudamore, TomTizzard, C L25/111-413534d
4.04.2014Aintree3m½fGood To Soft18Beat That (IRE)Milan6Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J6/111-4142119d
5.04.2013Aintree3m½fGood To Soft9At Fishers Cross (IRE)Oscar (IRE)6McCoy, A PCurtis, Miss Rebecca11/811-415221d
13.04.2012Aintree3m½fGood19Lovcen (GER)Tiger Hill (IRE)7Thornton, RobertKing, A8/111-414228d
8.04.2011Aintree3m½fGood19Saint Are (FR)Network (GER)5Johnson, RichardVaughan, Tim33/111-412934d

Horses

Due to the conditions of the race horses can only run in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle once.

Course Form

The table shows the number of times the 144 horses, who have run in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.

None of the last 10 winners had previously run at Aintree.

Course RunsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
0129107.7536.132620.16
11300-13323.08
2200-2150

Winning Distance Form

The table shows the number of times the 144 horses, who have run in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.

None of the last 10 winners had previously won at the distance.

Distance WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
0129107.7536.132720.93
11400-14321.43
2100-100

Winning Going Form

The table shows the number of times the 144 horses, who have run in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.

5 winners had won on similar going at least once.

Going WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
07756.4956.381418.18
15048-21.51428
21417.14-10.75214.29
3100-100
4200-200

Trainers

Winners

8 trainers have saddled a winner of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle in the last 10 years.

Nicky Henderson has been responsible for 3 of the 10 winners.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Henderson, N J13323.08-0.25538.46
Curtis, Miss Rebecca5120-2.62240
Russell, Miss Lucinda V412563125
George, T R3133.331133.33
Vaughan, Tim412530250
Twiston-Davies, N A9111.111111.11
Tizzard, C L6116.6720233.33
King, A51204120

Places (includes wins)

21 different trainers have been responsible for the 30 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Henderson, N J13323.08-0.25538.46
Tizzard, C L6116.6720233.33
Greatrex, W J400-4250
Curtis, Miss Rebecca5120-2.62240
Nicholls, P F800-8225
Vaughan, Tim412530250
Ferguson, J P100-11100
Thomson, A M300-3133.33
Mullins, W P500-5120
Hobbs, P J200-2150
George, T R3133.331133.33
Russell, Miss Lucinda V412563125
Wadham,s L100-11100
Webber, P R100-11100
OBrien, Joseph Patrick100-11100
Twiston-Davies, N A9111.111111.11
Bowen, P200-2150
Rodford, P R100-11100
Longsdon, C E500-5120
Skelton, Daniel500-5120
King, A51204120

Age

9 of the last 10 winners of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle have been aged between 6 and 7 years old.

AgeBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
4100-100
52813.576517.86
68567.067.882124.71
724312.514.25312.5
8500-5120
9100-100

Sex

All of the winners of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle in the previous 10 years have been geldings.

Just 5 mares have run and 2 were placed.

Headgear

All of the winners of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle and 28 of the 30 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
None130107.6935.132821.54
Cheekpieces1100-1119.09
Blinkers200-200
Hood100-11100

Official Rating (OR)

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle over the last 10 years.

7 of the last 10 winners had a rating of between 138 and 152.

ORBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
09111.1158111.11
125200-2150
126200-200
127300-3133.33
129412530125
1351011016220
137600-6233.33
1388112.52225
139700-7114.29
140900-9111.11
14212216.674541.67
143300-3133.33
144300-3133.33
146300-3133.33
147200-2150
148200-2150
14921502150
1504125-1.5375
152221003.632100
153100-11100
155100-11100

9 of the last 10 winners were within 20lb of the top rated.

OR RankBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopRated11327.27-2.87763.64
1 lower200-22100
6 lower300-3133.33
8 lower6116.67-2466.67
9 lower101100330
10 lower200-2150
11 lower7114.292228.57
13 lower7114.290114.29
15 lower7114.2919342.86
20 lower9111.1125333.33
24 lower400-4125
25 lower300-3133.33
150 lower3133.3364133.33

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Starting Price (SP)

The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle for the last 10 years.

The winners range from 11/8 (2.38) to 66/1 (67.00).

6 of the 10 winners were 6/1 or higher

18 of the 30 horses to make the frame returned a SP 6/1 (7.00) or higher.

SPBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
2.38111001.381100
2.50111001.51100
2.63200-22100
3.25111002.251100
4.0021502150
4.33100-11100
4.50200-2150
5.00300-3133.33
6.00100-11100
6.50700-7228.57
7.0041253250
8.50100-11100
9.0010110-1330
10.008112.52337.5
12.00200-2150
17.001100-11218.18
21.00300-3133.33
26.001119.091519.09
29.00400-4125
34.009111.1125111.11
41.00600-6116.67
67.001011057110

Position in Betting Market

3 favourites Sefton Novices’ Hurdle in the last 10 years. 6 of the last 10 winners and 13 of the 30 to make the frame came from the first 3 in the betting market.

Pos BettingBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Clear Top10330-1.87880
Clear Second9111.11-5333.33
Joint Second200-200
Clear Third51202240
Joint Third8112.51112.5
Clear Fourth500-5360
Joint Fourth200-2150
Clear Fifth700-7228.57
Joint Fifth41256125
Clear Sixth600-600
Joint Sixth500-500
Clear Seventh700-7114.29
Joint Seventh200-200
Clear Eighth500-5120
Joint Eighth700-7114.29
Clear Ninth600-600
Clear Tenth800-8225
Eleventh or Worse3239.3895412.5

Days Since Last Run (DSLR)

8 of the previous 10 Sefton Novices’ Hurdle winners had their latest run between 21 and 45 days ago.

DSLRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
11-15 days400-400
16-20 days7114.293228.57
21-25 days3738.11-27.371027.03
26-30 days2727.41-15.5725.93
31-45 days3139.6896619.35
46-60 days1800-18211.11
61-75 days700-700
76-90 days500-500
91-120 days6116.671350
121-150 days100-100
181-240 days100-100

Last Run Placing (LR)

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle.

9 of the last 10 winners had finished in the first 5 on their previous outing.

LRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
First5135.8828.381019.61
Second3126.45-20.75619.35
Third16212.520.5318.75
Fourth8112.51225
Fifth8112.518337.5
Sixth300-3133.33
Seventh800-8112.5
Eighth200-200
Ninth100-100
Tenth100-11100
Thirteenth300-3133.33
Seventeenth100-100
Fell3133.331133.33
Pulled Up700-700
Unseated Rider100-11100

One Stop Ratings

5 of the last 10 winners of the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle have been top 3 ranked on One Stop Rating (OSR).

OSR RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
111218.18%654.55%-6.12
211218.18%436.36%-0.75
38112.50%337.50%18.00
41000.00%220.00%-10.00
510110.00%330.00%-1.00
61000.00%110.00%-10.00
71000.00%220.00%-10.00
810110.00%330.00%24.00
91119.09%19.09%-1.00
108112.50%112.50%-4.00
11900.00%111.11%-9.00
128112.50%225.00%59.00
13600.00%00.00%-6.00
14500.00%00.00%-5.00
15500.00%120.00%-5.00
16400.00%00.00%-4.00
17300.00%00.00%-3.00
18300.00%00.00%-3.00
19200.00%00.00%-2.0

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle on Thursday 6th April.

Our Selection for the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle

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