Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) – 10 Year Trends

The Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) is a Grade 1 National Hunt chase which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Marsh a subsidiary of Marsh McLennan.

This year’s race will be held on Friday 8th April 2022

The Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) often features horses which ran previously in the Queen Mother Champion Chase or the Ryanair Chase.

This race is open to is open to horses aged five years old and over. It is run on the Mildmay Course at Aintree over a distance of about 2 miles and 4 furlongs. During the race there are sixteen fences to be negotiated.

Previous Winners of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase)

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
9.04.2021Aintree2m4fGood To Soft7Fakir Doudairies (FR)Kapgarde (FR)6Walsh, M POBrien, Joseph Patrick2/111-716222d
5.04.2019Aintree2m4fSoft6Min (FR)Walk In The Park (IRE)8Walsh, RMullins, W P2/111-716723d
13.04.2018Aintree2m4fSoft6Politologue (FR)Poliglote7Twiston-Davies, SamNicholls, P F11/111-716130d
7.04.2017Aintree2m4fGood9Fox Norton (FR)Lando (GER)7Power, R MTizzard, C L4/111-716623d
8.04.2016Aintree2m4fGood To Soft6Gods Own (IRE)Oscar (IRE)8Brennan, P JGeorge, T R10/111-1016223d
10.04.2015Aintree2m4fGood10Don Cossack (GER)Sholokhov (IRE)8McCoy, A PElliott, Gordon3/111-1016629d
4.04.2014Aintree2m4fGood10Boston Bob (IRE)Bob Back (USA)9Townend, PMullins, W P5/111-1015422d
5.04.2013Aintree2m4fGood6Sprinter Sacre (FR)Network (GER)7Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J1/311-1018823d
13.04.2012Aintree2m4fGood8Finians Rainbow (IRE)Tiraaz (USA)9Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J13/811-1017330d

Horses

The table shows the horses that have run in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) more than once in the last 10 years.

HorseBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Politologue (FR)3133.339266.67
Gods Own (IRE)3133.338133.33
Wishfull Thinking300-3133.33
Kalahari King (FR)200-200
French Opera200-200
Albertas Run (IRE)200-22100
Min (FR)215012100
Cue Card200-22100
Somersby (IRE)200-2150
Al Ferof (FR)200-2150

Course Form

The table shows the number of times the 69 horses, who have run in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.

9 of the last 10 winners had previously run at Aintree at least once.

Course RunsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
01915.26-13421.05
122836.3621.461150
21715.88-12635.29
31200-12216.67
4200-200
5200-200
6100-11100
7100-100
8100-11100
9100-100

Winning Distance Form

The table shows the number of times the 78 horses, who have run in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.

5 of the last 10 winners had previously won at the distance.

Distance WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
022522.735.46731.82
13026.67-161136.67
21616.25-13531.25
3700-700
41110031100
521504150

Winning Going Form

The table shows the number of times the 78 horses, who have run in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.

7 winners had won on similar going at least once.

Going WinnersBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
011327.275.5436.36
11815.56-15422.22
220210-6630
31218.330433.33
48112.5-5.37225
552401.33240
6100-100
7100-11100
8100-11100
9100-11100

Trainers

Winners

7 trainers have saddled a winner of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) in the last 10 years.

No trainer has dominated the race but Willie Mullins has saddled 5 horses and won twice.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Henderson, N J9222.22-5.04222.22
Nicholls, P F12216.676.5433.33
Mullins, W P52404360
OBrien, Joseph Patrick1110021100
George, T R41257125
Tizzard, C L41251375
Elliott, Gordon3133.331133.33

Places (includes wins)

15 trainers have been responsible for the 25 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Nicholls, P F12216.676.5433.33
Mullins, W P52404360
Tizzard, C L41251375
ONeill, Jonjo300-33100
Henderson, N J9222.22-5.04222.22
OBrien, Joseph Patrick1110021100
Hamilton,s A100-11100
George, T R41257125
Knight, Miss H C100-11100
Hobbs, P J400-4125
Skelton, Daniel100-11100
Bromhead, Henry De400-4125
Elliott, Gordon3133.331133.33
Pipe, D E100-11100
Moore, G L200-2150

Age

9 of the last 10 winners of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) have been aged between 7 and 9 years old.

AgeBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
63133.330133.33
716318.752.33743.75
825416-0.5936
917211.76-8.37423.53
10900-9222.22
11600-6233.33
12200-200

Sex

All of the winners of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) in the previous 10 years have been geldings.

Just 1 mare has run and she was placed.

Headgear

8 of the winners of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) and 21 of the 25 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
None63812.7-25.542133.33
Hood524012360
Blinkers300-300
Cheekpieces600-6116.67
Visor100-100

Official Rating (OR)

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) over the last 10 years.

8 of the last 10 winners had a rating of between 161 and 173.

ORBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
149200-2150
1547114.29-1114.29
155400-4125
158400-4125
159700-7342.86
161215010150
1629222.225444.44
163300-3133.33
16642505375
1671110021100
168600-6350
170300-3266.67
172111005.51100
17321500.63150
188111000.331100

9 of the last 10 winners were within 8lb of the top rated.

OR RankBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopRated104405.46440
1 lower300-3133.33
2 lower215012100
3 lower215022100
4 lower300-3266.67
5 lower300-3133.33
6 lower5120-2240
7 lower600-6116.67
8 lower822510337.5
9 lower100-11100
10 lower500-5120
13 lower300-3133.33
14 lower41257375
18 lower300-3133.33

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Starting Price (SP)

The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) for the last 10 years.

The winners range from 1/3 (1.33) to 11/1 (12.00).

8 of the 10 winners were 11/2 or less

15 of the 25 horses to make the frame returned a SP 11/2 (6.50) or less.

SPBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
1.33111000.331100
2.10100-11100
2.63111001.631100
3.003266.673266.67
3.50200-2150
3.75200-22100
4.0021502150
4.33100-11100
5.001110041100
6.0041252375
6.5021504.5150
7.00100-11100
8.00200-2150
8.50300-3266.67
11.003133.338133.33
12.0041258125
15.00700-7228.57
17.00500-5240

Position in Betting Market

4 outright favourites and 1 joint favourite have won the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) in the last 10 years. All of the last 10 winners and 21 of the 25 to make the frame came from the first 3 in the betting market.

Pos BettingBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Clear Top9444.440.96777.78
Joint Top21502150
Clear Second800-8225
Joint Second200-2150
Clear Third82258450
Joint Third215042100
Clear Fourth8112.5-1.5337.5
Joint Fourth215010150
Clear Fifth400-400
Joint Fifth800-8112.5
Clear Sixth100-100
Joint Sixth200-200
Clear Seventh400-4250
Clear Eighth200-200
Joint Eighth400-4125

Days Since Last Run (DSLR)

All of the previous 10 Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) winners had their latest run between 21 and 30 days ago.

DSLRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
1 day100-100
11-15 days300-300
21-25 days38718.42-2.171539.47
26-30 days18316.670.63738.89
31-45 days200-200
46-60 days800-8112.5
61-75 days100-100
76-90 days300-300
91-120 days300-3133.33
151-180 days100-11100

Last Run Placing (LR)

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase).

7 of the last 10 winners had finished in the first 4 on their previous outing.

LRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
First14214.29-10.04642.86
Second13215.38-5646.15
Third7114.29-3114.29
Fourth6233.3317350
Fifth1218.33-9433.33
Sixth7114.29-1228.57
Seventh600-600
Eighth21504.5150
Ninth100-100
Tenth100-100
Fifteenth100-100
Fell300-3133.33
Pulled Up300-3133.33
Refused to Race200-200

One Stop Ratings

5 of the last 10 winners of the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) have been top ranked on One Stop Rating (OSR) with 9 in the top 4 on One Stop Rating (OSR).

OSR RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
110550.00%880.00%7.46
21000.00%550.00%-10.00
310330.00%440.00%9.00
410110.00%220.00%2.00
51000.00%00.00%-10.00
61100.00%19.09%-11.00
7500.00%00.00%-5.00
85120.00%120.00%1.00
9400.00%375.00%-4.00
10300.00%133.33%-3.0

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase) on Thursday 6th April.

Our Selection for the Marsh Chase (Melling Chase)

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