Brown Advisory Novices Chase 2023 – Statistics and Trends
Get valuable insights into the Brown Advisory Novices Chase with our comprehensive analysis. Utilizing data from the past 25 renewals dating back to 1997, we break down key factors such as horse age, weight, days since last run, starting price, and official rating. Enhance your betting strategy with our in-depth examination of statistical trends and patterns in the race.
What is the Brown Advisory Novices Chase?
Experience the excitement of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase – a premier Grade 1 National Hunt chase held annually at the Cheltenham Festival. Scheduled for Wednesday, March 15th, 2023, this race attracts top horses aged five years and up to compete on the Old Course over 3 miles and ½ furlong, with 20 thrilling fences to jump.
Brown Advisory Novices Chase Winners since 1997
Date | Distance | Going | Runners | Winner | Stallion | Age | Jockey (Clm) | Trainer | Odds | Weight | OR | Days |
16.03.2022 | 3m½f | Soft | 9 | LHomme Presse (FR) | Diamond Boy (FR) | 7 | Deutsch, Charlie | Williams, Miss Venetia | 9/4 | 11-4 | 159 | 39d |
17.03.2021 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 6 | Monkfish (IRE) | Stowaway | 7 | Townend, P | Mullins, W P | 1/4 | 11-4 | 164 | 38d |
11.03.2020 | 3m½f | Soft | 10 | Champ (IRE) | Kings Theatre (IRE) | 8 | Geraghty, B J | Henderson, N J | 4/1 | 11-4 | 153 | 70d |
13.03.2019 | 3m½f | Soft | 12 | Topofthegame (IRE) | Flemensfirth (USA) | 7 | Cobden, Harry | Nicholls, P F | 4/1 | 11-4 | 155 | 77d |
14.03.2018 | 3m½f | Soft | 10 | Presenting Percy | Sir Percy | 7 | Russell, D N | Kelly, Patrick G | 5/2 | 11-4 | 158 | 25d |
15.03.2017 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 12 | Might Bite (IRE) | Scorpion (IRE) | 8 | Boinville, Nico | Henderson, N J | 7/2 | 11-4 | 154 | 34d |
16.03.2016 | 3m½f | Good | 8 | Blaklion | Kayf Tara | 7 | Hatch, R | Twiston-Davies, N A | 8/1 | 11-4 | 150 | 39d |
11.03.2015 | 3m½f | Good | 8 | Don Poli (IRE) | Poliglote | 6 | Cooper, Bryan J | Mullins, W P | 13/8 | 11-4 | 156 | 72d |
12.03.2014 | 3m½f | Good | 15 | Ofaolains Boy (IRE) | Oscar (IRE) | 7 | Geraghty, B J | Curtis, Miss Rebecca | 12/1 | 11-4 | 144 | 25d |
13.03.2013 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 11 | Lord Windermere (IRE) | Oscar (IRE) | 7 | Russell, D N | Culloty, J H | 8/1 | 11-4 | 145 | 32d |
14.03.2012 | 3m½f | Good | 9 | Bobs Worth (IRE) | Bob Back (USA) | 7 | Geraghty, B J | Henderson, N J | 9/2 | 11-4 | 151 | 25d |
16.03.2011 | 3m½f | Good | 12 | Bostons Angel (IRE) | Winged Love (IRE) | 7 | Power, R M | Harrington,s John | 16/1 | 11-4 | 146 | 32d |
17.03.2010 | 3m½f | Good | 9 | Weapons Amnesty (IRE) | Presenting | 7 | Russell, D N | Byrnes, C | 10/1 | 11-4 | 152 | 38d |
11.03.2009 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 15 | Cooldine (IRE) | Beneficial | 7 | Walsh, R | Mullins, W P | 9/4 | 11-4 | 155 | 24d |
13.03.2008 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 11 | Albertas Run (IRE) | Accordion (IRE) | 7 | McCoy, A P | ONeill, Jonjo | 4/1 | 11-4 | 149 | 26d |
14.03.2007 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 17 | Denman (IRE) | Presenting | 7 | Walsh, R | Nicholls, P F | 6/5 | 11-4 | 0 | 32d |
15.03.2006 | 3m½f | Good | 15 | Star De Mohaison (FR) | Beyssac (FR) | 5 | Geraghty, B J | Nicholls, P F | 14/1 | 10-8 | 143 | 47d |
16.03.2005 | 3m½f | Good | 9 | Trabolgan (IRE) | Kings Ride (IRE) | 7 | Fitzgerald, Mick | Henderson, N J | 5/1 | 11-4 | 0 | 53d |
17.03.2004 | 3m½f | Good | 10 | Rule Supreme (IRE) | Supreme Leader | 8 | Casey, D J | Mullins, W P | 25/1 | 11-4 | 0 | 45d |
12.03.2003 | 3m½f | Good | 9 | One Knight (IRE) | Roselier (FR) | 7 | Johnson, Richard | Hobbs, P J | 15/2 | 11-4 | 0 | 44d |
13.03.2002 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 19 | Hussard Collonges (FR) | Video Rock (FR) | 7 | Garritty, Russ | Beaumont, P | 33/1 | 11-4 | 129 | 34d |
15.03.2000 | 3m½f | Good | 9 | Lord Noelie (IRE) | Lord Americo (IRE) | 7 | Culloty, J | Knight, Miss H C | 9/2 | 11-4 | 0 | 53d |
17.03.1999 | 3m½f | Good To Soft | 14 | Looks Like Trouble (IRE) | Zaffaran (USA) | 7 | Carberry, P | Chance, Noel T | 16/1 | 11-4 | 115 | 27d |
18.03.1998 | 3m½f | Good | 10 | Florida Pearl (IRE) | Florida Son | 6 | Dunwoody, R | Mullins, W P | 11/8 | 11-4 | 0 | 38d |
12.03.1997 | 3m½f | Good To Firm | 14 | Hanakham (IRE) | Phardante (FR) | 8 | Dunwoody, R | Hodges, R J | 13/2 | 11-4 | 0 | 20d |
Horses Age – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
The table below shows the ages of the 283 horses that have lined up in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.
143 of the runners have been aged 7, producing 18 of the 25 winners.
Horse Age | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
5 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 10% | 4 | 40% |
6 | 50 | 2 | -44.99 | 4% | 17 | 34% |
7 | 143 | 18 | 15.95 | 13% | 41 | 29% |
8 | 56 | 4 | -13 | 7% | 10 | 18% |
9 | 20 | 0 | -20 | 0% | 2 | 10% |
10 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
11 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Weight Carried – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
24 of the 25 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997 have carried 11st 4lb to victory. 71 of the 74 horses to make the first 3 were also in this range.
Horse Weight | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
10-8 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 17% | 3 | 50% |
10-9 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
10-11 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
10-13 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
11-2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
11-3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
11-4 | 264 | 24 | -57.04 | 9% | 70 | 27% |
Headgear Worn – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
All of the winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997 have been without headgear.
Headgear | Bets | Wins | Win% | P/L(SP) | Places | Place% |
Cheekpieces | 14 | 0 | 0 | -14 | 0 | 0 |
Blinkers | 8 | 0 | 0 | -8 | 0 | 0 |
Visor | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
Hood | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 33.33 |
None | 256 | 25 | 9.77 | -34.04 | 73 | 28.52 |
Starting Price (SP) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
The table shows the starting price range of all horses that have run in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.
The winners range from 1/4 to 33/1.
20 of the 25 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase have returned a SP of 12/1 or less.
For those who like an each way play 38 of the 74 horses that have finished in the frame (first 3 places) have returned a SP of 13/2 or more.
Odds Bracket | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
Less than 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
Btw Evens & 6/4 | 6 | 2 | -1.42 | 33% | 4 | 67% |
Btw 13/8 & 9/4 | 7 | 3 | 2.13 | 43% | 4 | 57% |
Btw 5/2 & 4/1 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 24% | 15 | 71% |
Btw 9/2 & 6/1 | 32 | 3 | -15 | 9% | 12 | 38% |
Btw 13/2 & 8/1 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 13% | 8 | 25% |
Btw 17/2 & 12/1 | 50 | 2 | -26 | 4% | 14 | 28% |
Btw 14/1 & 20/1 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 6% | 7 | 15% |
Btw 22/1 & 40/1 | 47 | 2 | 13 | 4% | 7 | 15% |
50-1 or above | 40 | 0 | -40 | 0% | 2 | 5% |
Position in Betting Market – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
9 favourites have won the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997. 18 of the 25 winners came from the first 4 in the betting market.
Position In Market | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
1 | 26 | 9 | 1.96 | 35% | 16 | 62% |
2 | 28 | 2 | -17 | 7% | 13 | 46% |
3 | 23 | 4 | 3.5 | 17% | 11 | 48% |
4 | 26 | 3 | -2.5 | 12% | 6 | 23% |
5 | 28 | 1 | -17 | 4% | 9 | 32% |
6 | 24 | 1 | -7 | 4% | 3 | 13% |
7 | 25 | 1 | -8 | 4% | 5 | 20% |
8 | 24 | 2 | 15 | 8% | 4 | 17% |
9 | 20 | 0 | -20 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
10 | 17 | 1 | -2 | 6% | 2 | 12% |
11 | 12 | 0 | -12 | 0% | 1 | 8% |
12 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
13 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 9% | 4 | 36% |
14 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
15 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
16 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
17 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
19 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Official Rating (OR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
The following table shows the official rating of every horse in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997
18 of the 25 winners had been allocated an official rating.
16 of the 18 winners with an official rating were rated at least 143.
Official Rating | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
0 | 87 | 7 | -28.92 | 8% | 21 | 24% |
108 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
110 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
111 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
112 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
115 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
118 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
119 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
121 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
123 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
125 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
126 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
127 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
128 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
129 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 50% | 1 | 50% |
130 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
132 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 1 | 50% |
134 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
135 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
136 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
137 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
138 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
139 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
140 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
142 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 2 | 33% |
143 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 33% | 2 | 67% |
144 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20% | 1 | 20% |
145 | 11 | 1 | -2 | 9% | 2 | 18% |
146 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 10% | 3 | 30% |
147 | 12 | 0 | -12 | 0% | 3 | 25% |
148 | 15 | 0 | -15 | 0% | 5 | 33% |
149 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20% | 1 | 20% |
150 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14% | 2 | 29% |
151 | 12 | 1 | -6.5 | 8% | 3 | 25% |
152 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 10% | 3 | 30% |
153 | 9 | 1 | -4 | 11% | 4 | 44% |
154 | 5 | 1 | -0.5 | 20% | 4 | 80% |
155 | 12 | 2 | -3.75 | 17% | 4 | 33% |
156 | 7 | 1 | -4.37 | 14% | 2 | 29% |
157 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
158 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
159 | 4 | 1 | -0.75 | 25% | 1 | 25% |
161 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
164 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.
Days Since Last Run (DSLR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
All of the 25 Brown Advisory Novices Chase winners since 1997 had their latest run between 16 and 90 days ago.
15 of them last ran between 31 and 60 days ago.
No horses have made the frame returning to the track in less than 16 days and just 2 after being off the track more than 90 days.
Days Since Run | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
1-7 days | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
8-15 days | 7 | 0 | -7 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
16-30 days | 97 | 7 | -42.25 | 7% | 22 | 23% |
31-60 days | 124 | 15 | 30.58 | 12% | 39 | 31% |
61-90 days | 45 | 3 | -32.37 | 7% | 11 | 24% |
91-120 days | 8 | 0 | -8 | 0% | 2 | 25% |
121-365 days | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Last Run Placing (LR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 25 runnings of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.
14 of the 25 winners had won on their previous outing and 10 more winners were second or third.
Previous Place | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
First | 140 | 14 | -36.04 | 10% | 41 | 29% |
Second | 52 | 8 | 44.5 | 15% | 16 | 31% |
Third | 29 | 2 | -12.5 | 7% | 10 | 34% |
Fourth | 16 | 0 | -16 | 0% | 3 | 19% |
Fifth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Sixth | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Seventh | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Eighth | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Thirteenth | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Fell | 14 | 1 | -9 | 7% | 3 | 21% |
Pulled Up | 15 | 0 | -15 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Unseated Rider | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 1 | 33% |
Miscellaneous Statistics – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
All of this data is for the last 25 renewals of the Ballymore Novices since 1997
Wins (Distance) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
0 | 228 | 23 | -28.04 | 10% | 59 | 26% |
1 | 46 | 1 | -29 | 2% | 11 | 24% |
2 | 8 | 1 | -3 | 13% | 3 | 38% |
3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
Wins (Less Dist) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
0 | 15 | 1 | -7.5 | 7% | 2 | 13% |
1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6% | 4 | 25% |
2 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 6% | 7 | 21% |
3 | 52 | 5 | 2.88 | 10% | 15 | 29% |
4 | 50 | 3 | -17 | 6% | 12 | 24% |
5 | 53 | 3 | -42.62 | 6% | 14 | 26% |
6 | 31 | 3 | -15.25 | 10% | 6 | 19% |
7 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 31% | 7 | 44% |
8 | 10 | 2 | -4.55 | 20% | 5 | 50% |
9 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
10 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
Wins (Higher Dist) | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
0 | 212 | 21 | -33.54 | 10% | 59 | 28% |
1 | 60 | 4 | -16.5 | 7% | 15 | 25% |
2 | 10 | 0 | -10 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Season Runs | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
1 | 10 | 1 | -2.5 | 10% | 3 | 30% |
2 | 37 | 2 | -29.62 | 5% | 8 | 22% |
3 | 64 | 8 | -21.87 | 13% | 21 | 33% |
4 | 76 | 7 | -3.55 | 9% | 21 | 28% |
5 | 54 | 6 | 12.5 | 11% | 13 | 24% |
6 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 7% | 5 | 33% |
7 | 16 | 0 | -16 | 0% | 1 | 6% |
8 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
9 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
10 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 2 | 67% |
11 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Max Distance Run | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
2m4f | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 2 | 33% |
2m4½f | 9 | 0 | -9 | 0% | 3 | 33% |
2m5f | 16 | 3 | -1.37 | 19% | 6 | 38% |
2m5½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
2m6f | 6 | 1 | 9 | 17% | 3 | 50% |
2m7f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
2m7½f | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m | 81 | 11 | -12.17 | 14% | 26 | 32% |
3m½f | 47 | 4 | 8.5 | 9% | 13 | 28% |
3m1f | 41 | 1 | -36 | 2% | 9 | 22% |
3m1½f | 39 | 2 | -22.5 | 5% | 8 | 21% |
3m2f | 17 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 2 | 12% |
3m2½f | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m3f | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m3½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m4f | 4 | 1 | 22 | 25% | 1 | 25% |
3m5f | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 50% | 1 | 50% |
3m5½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Max Distance WIN | Runs | Wins | P/L | Win% | Places | Place% |
No Prev Win | 9 | 1 | -1.5 | 11% | 1 | 11% |
2m | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 1 | 100% |
2m3f | 3 | 1 | 6 | 33% | 2 | 67% |
2m3½f | 5 | 0 | -5 | 0% | 1 | 20% |
2m4f | 21 | 0 | -21 | 0% | 6 | 29% |
2m4½f | 13 | 2 | 27 | 15% | 3 | 23% |
2m5f | 19 | 2 | -13.37 | 11% | 3 | 16% |
2m5½f | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0% | 1 | 25% |
2m6f | 16 | 2 | 2.25 | 13% | 7 | 44% |
2m6½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
2m7f | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
2m7½f | 7 | 2 | 6.5 | 29% | 3 | 43% |
3m | 78 | 9 | -15.42 | 12% | 22 | 28% |
3m½f | 32 | 2 | -10 | 6% | 9 | 28% |
3m1f | 31 | 2 | 0 | 6% | 8 | 26% |
3m1½f | 27 | 1 | -18 | 4% | 6 | 22% |
3m2f | 6 | 0 | -6 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m2½f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m3f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m3½f | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m4f | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
3m5f | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 100% | 1 | 100% |
One Stop Ratings – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
5 Top Ranked Winners and 15 of the 20 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 2002 have been in the top 5 on our One Stop Rating (OSR).
Rank | Bets | Wins | Win% | Places | Places% | P/L |
1 | 20 | 5 | 25.00% | 8 | 40.00% | -7.42 |
2 | 20 | 5 | 25.00% | 9 | 45.00% | 16.00 |
3 | 21 | 1 | 4.76% | 9 | 42.86% | -16.00 |
4 | 20 | 2 | 10.00% | 8 | 40.00% | -7.00 |
5 | 20 | 2 | 10.00% | 7 | 35.00% | -5.00 |
6 | 19 | 3 | 15.79% | 6 | 31.58% | 27.00 |
7 | 19 | 2 | 10.53% | 4 | 21.05% | 9.00 |
8 | 19 | 0 | 0.00% | 4 | 21.05% | -19.00 |
9 | 17 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 5.88% | -17.00 |
10 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 8.33% | -12.00 |
11 | 9 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 11.11% | -9.00 |
12 | 7 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -7.00 |
13 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -4.00 |
14 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -4.00 |
15 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 25.00% | -4.00 |
16 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -1.00 |
17 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -1.00 |
One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Brown Advisory Novices Chase 2023 on Tuesday 14th March.
Our Selection for the 2023 Brown Advisory Novices Chase
One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2023 Brown Advisory Novices Chase will be sent to All Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.
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