Get valuable insights into the Brown Advisory Novices Chase with our comprehensive analysis. Utilizing data from the past 25 renewals dating back to 1997, we break down key factors such as horse age, weight, days since last run, starting price, and official rating. Enhance your betting strategy with our in-depth examination of statistical trends and patterns in the race.

Experience the excitement of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase – a premier Grade 1 National Hunt chase held annually at the Cheltenham Festival. Scheduled for Wednesday, March 15th, 2023, this race attracts top horses aged five years and up to compete on the Old Course over 3 miles and ½ furlong, with 20 thrilling fences to jump.

Brown Advisory Novices Chase Winners since 1997

DateDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
16.03.20223m½fSoft9LHomme Presse (FR)Diamond Boy (FR)7Deutsch, CharlieWilliams, Miss Venetia9/411-415939d
17.03.20213m½fGood To Soft6Monkfish (IRE)Stowaway7Townend, PMullins, W P1/411-416438d
11.03.20203m½fSoft10Champ (IRE)Kings Theatre (IRE)8Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J4/111-415370d
13.03.20193m½fSoft12Topofthegame (IRE)Flemensfirth (USA)7Cobden, HarryNicholls, P F4/111-415577d
14.03.20183m½fSoft10Presenting PercySir Percy7Russell, D NKelly, Patrick G5/211-415825d
15.03.20173m½fGood To Soft12Might Bite (IRE)Scorpion (IRE)8Boinville, NicoHenderson, N J7/211-415434d
16.03.20163m½fGood8BlaklionKayf Tara7Hatch, RTwiston-Davies, N A8/111-415039d
11.03.20153m½fGood8Don Poli (IRE)Poliglote6Cooper, Bryan JMullins, W P13/811-415672d
12.03.20143m½fGood15Ofaolains Boy (IRE)Oscar (IRE)7Geraghty, B JCurtis, Miss Rebecca12/111-414425d
13.03.20133m½fGood To Soft11Lord Windermere (IRE)Oscar (IRE)7Russell, D NCulloty, J H8/111-414532d
14.03.20123m½fGood9Bobs Worth (IRE)Bob Back (USA)7Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J9/211-415125d
16.03.20113m½fGood12Bostons Angel (IRE)Winged Love (IRE)7Power, R MHarrington,s John16/111-414632d
17.03.20103m½fGood9Weapons Amnesty (IRE)Presenting7Russell, D NByrnes, C10/111-415238d
11.03.20093m½fGood To Soft15Cooldine (IRE)Beneficial7Walsh, RMullins, W P9/411-415524d
13.03.20083m½fGood To Soft11Albertas Run (IRE)Accordion (IRE)7McCoy, A PONeill, Jonjo4/111-414926d
14.03.20073m½fGood To Soft17Denman (IRE)Presenting7Walsh, RNicholls, P F6/511-4032d
15.03.20063m½fGood15Star De Mohaison (FR)Beyssac (FR)5Geraghty, B JNicholls, P F14/110-814347d
16.03.20053m½fGood9Trabolgan (IRE)Kings Ride (IRE)7Fitzgerald, MickHenderson, N J5/111-4053d
17.03.20043m½fGood10Rule Supreme (IRE)Supreme Leader8Casey, D JMullins, W P25/111-4045d
12.03.20033m½fGood9One Knight (IRE)Roselier (FR)7Johnson, RichardHobbs, P J15/211-4044d
13.03.20023m½fGood To Soft19Hussard Collonges (FR)Video Rock (FR)7Garritty, RussBeaumont, P33/111-412934d
15.03.20003m½fGood9Lord Noelie (IRE)Lord Americo (IRE)7Culloty, JKnight, Miss H C9/211-4053d
17.03.19993m½fGood To Soft14Looks Like Trouble (IRE)Zaffaran (USA)7Carberry, PChance, Noel T16/111-411527d
18.03.19983m½fGood10Florida Pearl (IRE)Florida Son6Dunwoody, RMullins, W P11/811-4038d
12.03.19973m½fGood To Firm14Hanakham (IRE)Phardante (FR)8Dunwoody, RHodges, R J13/211-4020d

Horses Age – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

The table below shows the ages of the 283 horses that have lined up in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.

143 of the runners have been aged 7, producing 18 of the 25 winners.

Horse AgeRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
5101510%440%
6502-44.994%1734%
71431815.9513%4129%
8564-137%1018%
9200-200%210%
1030-30%00%
1110-10%00%

Weight Carried – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

24 of the 25 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997 have carried 11st 4lb to victory. 71 of the 74 horses to make the first 3 were also in this range.

Horse WeightRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
10-861917%350%
10-920-20%00%
10-1160-60%00%
10-1330-30%00%
11-210-10%00%
11-310-10%1100%
11-426424-57.049%7027%

Headgear Worn – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

All of the winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997 have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Cheekpieces1400-1400
Blinkers800-800
Visor200-200
Hood300-3133.33
None256259.77-34.047328.52

Starting Price (SP) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

The table shows the starting price range of all horses that have run in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.

The winners range from 1/4 to 33/1.

20 of the 25 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase have returned a SP of 12/1 or less.

For those who like an each way play 38 of the 74 horses that have finished in the frame (first 3 places) have returned a SP of 13/2 or more.

Odds BracketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
Less than 1/2110.25100%1100%
Btw Evens & 6/462-1.4233%467%
Btw 13/8 & 9/4732.1343%457%
Btw 5/2 & 4/1215224%1571%
Btw 9/2 & 6/1323-159%1238%
Btw 13/2 & 8/1324213%825%
Btw 17/2 & 12/1502-264%1428%
Btw 14/1 & 20/147326%715%
Btw 22/1 & 40/1472134%715%
50-1 or above400-400%25%

Position in Betting Market – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

9 favourites have won the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997. 18 of the 25 winners came from the first 4 in the betting market.

Position In MarketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
12691.9635%1662%
2282-177%1346%
32343.517%1148%
4263-2.512%623%
5281-174%932%
6241-74%313%
7251-84%520%
8242158%417%
9200-200%00%
10171-26%212%
11120-120%18%
1270-70%00%
13111239%436%
1440-40%00%
1530-30%00%
1620-20%00%
1720-20%00%
1910-10%00%

Official Rating (OR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

The following table shows the official rating of every horse in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997

18 of the 25 winners had been allocated an official rating.

16 of the 18 winners with an official rating were rated at least 143.

Official RatingRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0877-28.928%2124%
10820-20%00%
11010-10%00%
11110-10%00%
11210-10%00%
1151116100%1100%
11810-10%00%
11910-10%00%
12110-10%00%
12320-20%00%
12510-10%00%
12630-30%133%
12720-20%00%
12810-10%00%
129213250%150%
13030-30%00%
13220-20%150%
13410-10%00%
13550-50%120%
13630-30%00%
13750-50%120%
13840-40%125%
13940-40%00%
14070-70%00%
14260-60%233%
143311233%267%
14451820%120%
145111-29%218%
146101710%330%
147120-120%325%
148150-150%533%
14951020%120%
15071214%229%
151121-6.58%325%
152101110%330%
15391-411%444%
15451-0.520%480%
155122-3.7517%433%
15671-4.3714%229%
15740-40%125%
158112.5100%1100%
15941-0.7525%125%
16130-30%133%
164110.25100%1100%

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Days Since Last Run (DSLR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

All of the 25 Brown Advisory Novices Chase winners since 1997 had their latest run between 16 and 90 days ago.

15 of them last ran between 31 and 60 days ago.

No horses have made the frame returning to the track in less than 16 days and just 2 after being off the track more than 90 days.

Days Since RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
1-7 days10-10%00%
8-15 days70-70%00%
16-30 days977-42.257%2223%
31-60 days1241530.5812%3931%
61-90 days453-32.377%1124%
91-120 days80-80%225%
121-365 days10-10%00%

Last Run Placing (LR) – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 25 runnings of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 1997.

14 of the 25 winners had won on their previous outing and 10 more winners were second or third.

Previous PlaceRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
First14014-36.0410%4129%
Second52844.515%1631%
Third292-12.57%1034%
Fourth160-160%319%
Fifth60-60%00%
Sixth40-40%00%
Seventh10-10%00%
Eighth20-20%00%
Thirteenth10-10%00%
Fell141-97%321%
Pulled Up150-150%00%
Unseated Rider30-30%133%

Miscellaneous Statistics – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

All of this data is for the last 25 renewals of the Ballymore Novices since 1997

Wins (Distance)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
022823-28.0410%5926%
1461-292%1124%
281-313%338%
310-10%1100%
Wins (Less Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0151-7.57%213%
116116%425%
234256%721%
35252.8810%1529%
4503-176%1224%
5533-42.626%1426%
6313-15.2510%619%
71652331%744%
8102-4.5520%550%
910-10%1100%
1050-50%120%
Wins (Higher Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
021221-33.5410%5928%
1604-16.57%1525%
2100-100%00%
410-10%00%
Season RunsRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
1101-2.510%330%
2372-29.625%822%
3648-21.8713%2133%
4767-3.559%2128%
554612.511%1324%
6151117%533%
7160-160%16%
840-40%00%
920-20%00%
1030-30%267%
1120-20%00%
Max Distance RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
2m4f60-60%233%
2m4½f90-90%333%
2m5f163-1.3719%638%
2m5½f20-20%00%
2m6f61917%350%
2m7f10-10%00%
2m7½f40-40%00%
3m8111-12.1714%2632%
3m½f4748.59%1328%
3m1f411-362%922%
3m1½f392-22.55%821%
3m2f17106%212%
3m2½f30-30%00%
3m3f30-30%00%
3m3½f10-10%00%
3m4f412225%125%
3m5f211.550%150%
3m5½f10-10%00%
Max Distance WINRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Prev Win91-1.511%111%
2m10-10%1100%
2m3f31633%267%
2m3½f50-50%120%
2m4f210-210%629%
2m4½f1322715%323%
2m5f192-13.3711%316%
2m5½f40-40%125%
2m6f1622.2513%744%
2m6½f10-10%00%
2m7f30-30%00%
2m7½f726.529%343%
3m789-15.4212%2228%
3m½f322-106%928%
3m1f31206%826%
3m1½f271-184%622%
3m2f60-60%00%
3m2½f20-20%00%
3m3f10-10%00%
3m3½f10-10%00%
3m4f20-20%00%
3m5f112.5100%1100%

One Stop Ratings – Brown Advisory Novices Chase

5 Top Ranked Winners and 15 of the 20 winners of the Brown Advisory Novices Chase since 2002 have been in the top 5 on our One Stop Rating (OSR).

RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
120525.00%840.00%-7.42
220525.00%945.00%16.00
32114.76%942.86%-16.00
420210.00%840.00%-7.00
520210.00%735.00%-5.00
619315.79%631.58%27.00
719210.53%421.05%9.00
81900.00%421.05%-19.00
91700.00%15.88%-17.00
101200.00%18.33%-12.00
11900.00%111.11%-9.00
12700.00%00.00%-7.00
13400.00%00.00%-4.00
14400.00%00.00%-4.00
15400.00%125.00%-4.00
16100.00%00.00%-1.00
17100.00%00.00%-1.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Brown Advisory Novices Chase 2023 on Tuesday 14th March.

Our Selection for the 2023 Brown Advisory Novices Chase

One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2023 Brown Advisory Novices Chase will be sent to All Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.

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