An extensive analysis of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle has been performed utilising data from the past 25 renewals dating back to 1997. The analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the statistical trends and patterns of the race, broken down into several key factors, including the age of the horses, the weight they carried, the number of days since their last run, their starting price, and their official rating. This analysis provides valuable insights into the performance of horses in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle and can assist in making informed betting decisions.

The Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle is a prestigious Grade 1 National Hunt hurdle race that takes place annually on the second day of the Cheltenham Festival. The race is officially registered as the Baring Bingham Novice Hurdle and will be held on Wednesday, March 15th, 2023. It is open to all horses aged four years or older and is contested on the Old Course at Cheltenham over a distance of approximately 2 miles and 5 furlongs, with 10 hurdles to be negotiated by the competitors.

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Winners since 1997

DateDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
16.03.20222m5fSoft9Sir Gerhard (IRE)Jeremy (USA)7Townend, PMullins, W P8/1111-715138d
17.03.20212m5fGood To Soft7Bob Olinger (IRE)Sholokhov (IRE)6Blackmore, RachaelBromhead, Henry De6/411-715063d
11.03.20202m5fSoft12Envoi Allen (FR)Muhtathir6Russell, D NElliott, Gordon4/711-715666d
13.03.20192m5fSoft16City Island (IRE)Court Cave (IRE)6Walsh, M PBrassil, Martin8/111-714732d
14.03.20182m5fSoft14Samcro (IRE)Germany (USA)6Kennedy, J WElliott, Gordon8/1111-715538d
15.03.20172m5fGood To Soft15Willoughby Court (IRE)Court Cave (IRE)6Bass, DavidPauling, Ben14/111-714760d
16.03.20162m5fGood11Yorkhill (IRE)Presenting6Walsh, RMullins, W P3/111-715674d
11.03.20152m5fGood10Windsor Park (IRE)Galileo (IRE)6Russell, D NWeld, D K9/211-714631d
12.03.20142m5fGood15Faugheen (IRE)Germany (USA)6Walsh, RMullins, W P6/411-715274d
13.03.20132m5fGood To Soft8The New One (IRE)Kings Theatre (IRE)5Twiston-Davies, SamTwiston-Davies, N A7/211-715246d
14.03.20122m5fGood17SimonsigFair Mix (IRE)6Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J2/111-714828d
16.03.20112m5fGood12First Lieutenant (IRE)Presenting6Russell, D NMorris, M F7/111-714277d
17.03.20102m5fGood17Peddlers Cross (IRE)Oscar (IRE)5Maguire, JasonMcCain Jnr, D7/111-714853d
11.03.20092m5fGood To Soft14Mikael DHaguenet (FR)Lavirco (GER)5Walsh, RMullins, W P5/211-715538d
14.03.20082m4½fGood To Soft15Fiveforthree (IRE)Arzanni6Walsh, RMullins, W P7/111-713130d
14.03.20072m5fGood To Soft15Massinis Maguire (IRE)Dr Massini (IRE)6Johnson, RichardHobbs, P J20/111-713846d
15.03.20062m5fGood17Nicanor (FR)Garde Royale (IRE)5Carberry, PMeade, Noel17/211-7045d
16.03.20052m5fGood20No Refuge (IRE)Hernando (FR)5Lee, GJohnson, J Howard17/211-714260d
17.03.20042m5fGood15Fundamentalist (IRE)Supreme Leader6Llewellyn, CarlTwiston-Davies, N A12/111-7018d
12.03.20032m5fGood19Hardy Eustace (IRE)Archway (IRE)6Kelly, K AHughes, D T6/111-7031d
13.03.20022m5fGood To Soft27Galileo (POL)Jape (USA)6Maguire, JasonGeorge, T R12/111-7018d
15.03.20002m5fGood14Monsignor (IRE)Mister Lord (USA)6Williamson, NPitman, M5/411-7025d
17.03.19992m5fGood To Soft18BartonPort Etienne (FR)6Wyer, LEasterby, T D2/111-7046d
18.03.19982m5fGood18French Holly (USA)Sir Ivor (USA)7Thornton, AndrewMurphy, Ferdy2/111-7034d
12.03.19972m5fGood To Firm17Istabraq (IRE)Sadlers Wells (USA)5Swan, C FOBrien, A P6/511-7038d

Horses Age – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

The table below shows the ages of the 372 horses that have lined up in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997.

296 of the runners have been aged between 5 and 6, this age range has been responsible for 23 of the 25 winners.

Horse AgeRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
4130-130%00%
51166-78.85%1916%
618017-59.959%4424%
7532-48.274%1019%
890-90%111%
910-10%00%

Weight Carried – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

ALL of the 25 winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997 have carried 11st 7lb to victory. 73 of the 74 horses to make the first 3 were also in this range.

Horse WeightRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
10-510-10%00%
10-710-10%00%
10-12100-100%00%
10-1310-10%00%
11-070-70%114%
11-260-60%00%
11-734625-184.027%7321%

Headgear Worn – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

All of the winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997 have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Cheekpieces200-200
Blinkers1000-1000
Visor200-200
Hood500-5360
None353257.08-191.027120.11

Starting Price (SP) – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

The table shows the starting price range of all horses that have run in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997.

The winners range from 4/7 to 20/1.

23 of the 25 winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle have returned a SP of 12/1 or less.

For those who like an each way play 41 of the 74 horses that have finished in the frame (first 3 places) have returned a SP of 13/2 or more.

Odds BracketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
Btw 1/2 & 10/11332.03100%3100%
Btw Evens & 6/4742.4557%7100%
Btw 13/8 & 9/483138%8100%
Btw 5/2 & 4/1203-815%840%
Btw 9/2 & 6/1232-10.59%730%
Btw 13/2 & 8/1304313%1343%
Btw 17/2 & 12/1414410%1127%
Btw 14/1 & 20/1582-223%916%
Btw 22/1 & 40/1720-720%57%
50-1 or above1100-1100%33%

Position in Betting Market – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

11 favourites have won the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997. 21 of the 25 winners came from the first 4 in the betting market.

Position In MarketRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
126110.9842%2077%
2302-21.57%1137%
3222-9.59%836%
42362926%1148%
53031110%620%
6260-260%415%
7230-230%417%
8231-24%417%
9270-270%00%
10210-210%210%
11280-280%14%
12210-210%15%
13100-100%00%
14210-210%00%
15110-110%00%
16110-110%19%
1750-50%00%
1840-40%00%
1920-20%00%
2020-20%00%
2230-30%133%
2520-20%00%
2710-10%00%

Official Rating (OR) – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

The following table shows the official rating of every horse in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997

17 of the 25 winners had been allocated an official rating.

13 of the 17 winners with an official rating were rated between 146 and 156.

Official RatingRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
01408-87.056%2014%
10510-10%00%
10810-10%00%
10910-10%00%
11020-20%00%
11110-10%00%
11220-20%00%
11330-30%133%
11410-10%00%
11520-20%00%
11710-10%00%
11850-50%00%
11910-10%00%
12060-60%00%
12110-10%00%
12230-30%133%
12330-30%00%
12420-20%00%
12550-50%00%
12630-30%00%
12730-30%00%
12840-40%00%
12920-20%00%
130110-110%218%
13151320%120%
13240-40%00%
13390-90%111%
13470-70%114%
135100-100%110%
13660-60%00%
13770-70%00%
138811313%225%
139100-100%110%
140110-110%327%
14150-50%240%
1421126.518%436%
143130-130%00%
14490-90%222%
14550-50%00%
14691-3.511%444%
147821625%450%
14862533%467%
14940-40%250%
15051-2.520%360%
15141-2.2725%375%
15232467%3100%
15310-10%1100%
15410-10%1100%
155421.2350%4100%
156223.57100%2100%
15810-10%1100%

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Days Since Last Run (DSLR) – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

All of the 25 Ballymore Novices Hurdle winners since 1997 had their latest run between 16 and 90 days ago.

15 of them last ran between 31 and 60 days ago.

Just 2 horses have made the frame returning to the track in less than 16 days and none after being off the track more than 90 days.

Days Since RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
1-7 days20-20%00%
8-15 days240-240%28%
16-30 days1085-68.755%1514%
31-60 days17015-65.849%3923%
61-90 days545-35.439%1833%
91-120 days80-80%00%
121-365 days40-40%00%
First Run20-20%00%

Last Run Placing (LR) – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 25 runnings of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 1997.

20 of the 25 winners had won on their previous outing and no winner had been placed worse than third.

Previous PlaceRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Run20-20%00%
First18820-77.0211%4826%
Second774-475%1823%
Third431-222%49%
Fourth200-200%15%
Fifth90-90%111%
Sixth100-100%00%
Seventh50-50%120%
Eighth20-20%00%
Ninth20-20%00%
Tenth30-30%00%
Eleventh10-10%00%
Fourteenth10-10%00%
Sixteenth10-10%00%
Seventeenth20-20%00%
Fell10-10%00%
Pulled Up30-30%00%
Unseated Rider20-20%150%

Miscellaneous Statistics – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

All of this data is for the last 25 renewals of the Ballymore Novices since 1997

Wins (Distance)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
031819-228.026%5919%
144523.511%1125%
271-2.514%343%
330-30%133
Wins (Less Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
0462-204%511%
1651-62.82%69%
2934-46.54%1516%
3828-3210%2328%
4484-338%1225%
51630.7319%531%
6131-11.278%538%
752-1.1840%240%
920-20%150%
1020-20%00%
Wins (Higher Dist)RunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
031521-186.527%6420%
1392-115%615%
2112-5.518%327%
350-50%120%
420-20%00%
Season RunsRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
020-20%00%
12033.215%420%
2561-432%611%
3808-35.9710%2329%
41059-599%2625%
5532-47.754%713%
62921.57%414%
7150-150%320%
860-60%117%
920-20%00%
1010-10%00%
1320-20%00%
1510-10%00%
Max Distance RunRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Prev Run20-20%00%
2m130-130%00%
2m½f182-8.2711%422%
2m1f161-86%213%
2m1½f30-30%00%
2m2f131-10.88%323%
2m2½f10-10%00%
2m3f100-100%330%
2m3½f140-140%17%
2m4f6810-21.715%2435%
2m4½f371-34.753%719%
2m5f584-227%1526%
2m5½f61917%117%
2m6f351-323%514%
2m6½f70-70%00%
2m7f51-220%240%
2m7½f40-40%00%
3m342-10.56%515%
3m½f191-65%15%
3m1½f70-70%114%
3m2f10-10%00%
3m3½f10-10%00%
Max Distance WINRunsWinsP/LWin%PlacesPlace%
No Prev Win290-290%27%
1m10-10%00%
1m2f10-10%00%
1m3½f10-10%00%
1m6f10-10%00%
1m7½f20-20%00%
2m321-243%39%
2m½f311-29.273%310%
2m1f121-48%217%
2m1½f30-30%00%
2m2f131-10.88%431%
2m2½f40-40%00%
2m3f160-160%425%
2m3½f151-127%213%
2m4f849-40.711%2327%
2m4½f282-22.757%725%
2m5f4351412%1433%
2m5½f71814%114%
2m6f150-150%320%
2m6½f30-30%00%
2m7f41-125%250%
2m7½f10-10%00%
3m151-12.57%213%
3m½f91411%222%
3m1½f10-10%00%
3m3½f10-10%00%

One Stop Ratings – Ballymore Novices Hurdle

5 Top Ranked Winners and 16 of the 20 winners of the Ballymore Novices Hurdle since 2002 have been in the top 5 on our One Stop Rating (OSR).

RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
121523.81%1152.38%-10.47
219315.79%1052.63%-2.00
321314.29%1047.62%-1.00
419315.79%526.32%11.00
520210.00%630.00%10.50
62114.76%29.52%-15.50
72000.00%420.00%-20.00
818211.11%527.78%-2.00
91815.56%422.22%-9.00
101700.00%15.88%-17.00
111600.00%16.25%-16.00
121500.00%00.00%-15.00
131300.00%00.00%-13.00
141400.00%00.00%-14.00
151000.00%00.00%-10.00
16600.00%00.00%-6.00
17500.00%00.00%-5.00
18200.00%00.00%-2.00
19200.00%00.00%-2.00
20100.00%00.00%-1.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Ballymore Novices Hurdle 2023 on Tuesday 14th March.

Our Selection for the 2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle

One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2023 Ballymore Novices Hurdle will be sent to All Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.

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