Maghull Novices’ Chase – 10 Year Trends

The Maghull Novices’ Chase is a Grade 1 National Hunt chase which is run at Aintree during the Grand National Festival. The current sponsor is Poundland.

This year’s race will be held on Saturday 9th April 2022

The Maghull Novices’ Chase often features horses which ran previously in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase.

This race is open to is open to horses aged five years old and over. It is run at Aintree over a distance of about 2 miles. During the race there are twelve fences to be negotiated.

Previous Winners of the Maghull Novices’ Chase

DateTrackDistanceGoingRunnersWinnerStallionAgeJockey (Clm)TrainerOddsWeightORDays
10.04.2021Aintree2mGood To Soft5Shishkin (IRE)Sholokhov (IRE)7Boinville, NicoHenderson, N J1/811-416925d
6.04.2019Aintree2mGood7Ornua (IRE)Mahler8Russell, D NBromhead, Henry De3/111-415125d
14.04.2018Aintree2mSoft6Diego Du Charmil (FR)Ballingarry (IRE)6Cobden, HarryNicholls, P F5/111-414320d
8.04.2017Aintree2mGood5San Benedeto (FR)Layman (USA)6Scholfield, NickNicholls, P F4/111-41506d
9.04.2016Aintree2mGood To Soft5Douvan (FR)Walk In The Park (IRE)6Townend, PMullins, W P2/1311-416125d
11.04.2015Aintree2mGood6Sizing Granite (IRE)Milan7Burke, JonathanBromhead, Henry De9/211-414542d
5.04.2014Aintree2mGood7Balder Succes (FR)Goldneyev (USA)6Hutchinson, WayneKing, A7/211-415342d
6.04.2013Aintree2mGood6Special TiaraKayf Tara6Cooper, Bryan JBromhead, Henry De28/111-412434d
14.04.2012Aintree2mGood4Sprinter Sacre (FR)Network (GER)6Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J1/711-416932d
9.04.2011Aintree2mGood7Finians Rainbow (IRE)Tiraaz (USA)8Geraghty, B JHenderson, N J10/1111-415725d

Horses

Due to the conditions of the race horses can only run in the Maghull Novices’ Chase once.

Course Form

The table shows the number of times the 58 horses, who have run in the Maghull Novices’ Chase during the last 10 years, had previously run at Aintree.

7 of the last 10 winners had previously never run at Aintree.

Course RunsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
039717.955.331128.21
114321.431750
2400-4125
3100-100

Winning Distance Form

The table shows the number of times the 58 horses, who have run in the Maghull Novices’ Chase during the last 10 years, had previously won over a similar distance.

All of the last 10 winners had previously won at the distance.

Distance WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
01000-10110
114214.2921535.71
213323.08-2.09430.77
39222.22-2.37333.33
44125-2.85125
5400-4125
63266.672.643100
8100-11100

Winning Going Form

The table shows the number of times the 58 horses, who have run in the Maghull Novices’ Chase during the last 10 years, have previously won a race with a similar going description.

8 of the last 10 winners had previously won on similar going.

Going WinsBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
011218.1824436.36
125312-13.09832
211218.18-8.72327.27
3300-300
44125-2.86250
542505250

Trainers

Winners

Just 5 trainers have saddled a winner of the Maghull Novices’ Chase in the last 10 years.

Nicky Henderson and Henry De Bromhead lead the way with 3 wins apiece.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Henderson, N J331001.183100
Bromhead, Henry De635032.5466.67
Nicholls, P F82253337.5
Mullins, W P111000.151100
King, A111003.51100

Places (includes wins)

12 different trainers have been responsible for the 19 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years.

TrainerBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Bromhead, Henry De635032.5466.67
Henderson, N J331001.183100
Nicholls, P F82253337.5
Mullins, W P111000.151100
Williams, Miss Venetia100-11100
George, T R200-2150
Elliott, Gordon100-11100
OBrien, Joseph Patrick100-11100
King, A111003.51100
McCain Jnr, D100-11100
Ellison, B100-11100
Richards, N G100-11100

Age

All of the last 10 winners of the Maghull Novices’ Chase have been aged between 6 and 8 years old.

AgeBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
5300-300
622627.2724.79940.91
72129.52-14.37733.33
88225-2.09225
9400-4125

Sex

All of the winners of the Maghull Novices’ Chase in the previous 10 years have been geldings.

Just 2 mares have run and both were unplaced.

Headgear

9 of the winners of the Maghull Novices’ Chase and 18 of the 19 horses to make the frame in the last 10 years have been without headgear.

HeadgearBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
None52917.312.331834.62
Cheekpieces21503150
Hood300-300
Blinkers100-100

Official Rating (OR)

The following table shows the official rating of every placed horse in the Maghull Novices’ Chase over the last 10 years.

9 of the last 10 winners had a rating of between 143 and 169.

ORBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
12411100281100
14341252125
14541251.5125
148500-5120
149300-3266.67
1503133.332133.33
1515120-1360
15321502.5150
155100-11100
1572150-0.092100
158200-2150
160100-11100
161111000.151100
169221000.272100

7 of the last 10 winners were within 4lb of the top rated.

OR RankBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
TopRated13538.46-3.67969.23
2 lower200-2150
3 lower111003.51100
4 lower21503150
5 lower300-3133.33
8 lower200-2150
10 lower300-3133.33
14 lower1110051100
15 lower21503.5150
20 lower200-2150
34 lower215027150

Official ratings are produced by the British Horseracing Board.

Starting Price (SP)

The table shows the starting price odds of all placed horses in the Maghull Novices’ Chase for the last 10 years.

The winners range from 2/15 (1.13) to 28/1 (29.00).

9 of the 10 winners were 5/1 or lower.

SPBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
1.13111000.131100
1.14111000.141100
1.15111000.151100
1.80100-11100
1.91111000.911100
2.88100-11100
3.75200-2150
4.003133.3313100
4.503133.331.5133.33
5.0021503150
5.5041251.5125
6.001110051100
7.00300-3133.33
9.00400-4125
13.00200-2150
15.00400-4125
29.00215027150

Position in Betting Market

5 favourites have won the Maghull Novices’ Chase in the last 10 years. 9 of the last 10 winners and 16 of the 19 to make the frame came from the first 3 in the betting market.

Pos BettingBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
Clear Top9444.44-3.67666.67
Joint Top215022100
Clear Second9111.11-4.5333.33
Clear Third9222.222444.44
Joint Third21503.5150
Clear Fourth800-8112.5
Clear Fifth600-600
Clear Sixth200-200
Clear Bottom9111.1120111.11
Joint Bottom200-2150

Days Since Last Run (DSLR)

9 of the previous 10 Maghull Novices’ Chase winners had their latest run between 16 and 45 days ago.

DSLRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
6-10 days41251125
11-15 days200-2150
16-20 days21504150
21-25 days22418.18-13.81940.91
26-30 days400-400
31-45 days14428.5726.14750
46-60 days300-300
61-75 days100-100
76-90 days300-300
91-120 days100-100
121-150 days100-100
151-180 days100-100

Last Run Placing (LR)

The table shows the break down of the last run placing for the previous 10 runnings of the Maghull Novices’ Chase.

7 of the last 10 winners had finished in the first 2 on their previous outing.

LRBetsWinsWin%P/L(SP)PlacesPlace%
First18633.330.42738.89
Second10110-8.09330
Third600-6233.33
Fourth600-6233.33
Fifth6116.6723350
Sixth100-100
Seventh100-100
Twenty First100-100
Brought Down200-200
Fell42506250
Pulled Up200-200
Unseated Rider100-100

One Stop Ratings

6 of the last 10 winners of the Maghull Novices’ Chase have been top ranked on One Stop Rating (OSR).

OSR RankBetsWinsWin%PlacesPlaces%P/L
110660.00%770.00%4.83
21000.00%550.00%-10.00
31000.00%220.00%-10.00
41119.09%218.18%-5.50
58112.50%112.50%-2.00
66233.33%233.33%27.00
7300.00%00.00%-3.00

One Stop Racings unique One Stop Ratings will be available for the Maghull Novices’ Chase on Friday 8th April.

Our Selection for the Maghull Novices’ Chase

One Stop Racing’s selection for the 2022 Maghull Novices’ Chase will be available to ALL Members of One Stop Racing on the morning of the race.

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